With the election two months away, some Republican senators are fighting to keep their seats in the shadow of their contentious nominee, Donald Trump. Jennifer Duffy, senior editor for The Cook Political Report, closely follows the nation’s senate races.

“Democrats have a fairly simple plan – all Trump, all the time. I don’t think there is a Republican candidate who can escape a day without being asked about Trump. It doesn’t happen.”

According to The Cook Political Report, 10 races Republican seats could turn over, some polling closer than expected. As for Democratic seats, Sen. Harry Reid’s seat in Nevada also could be a toss-up.

The GOP Senate races to watch this November:

Florida:                                 Sen. Marco Rubio           +5.7

Illinois:                                  Sen. Mark Kirk                     —

Indiana:                                Sen. Dan Coats’ seat       -7.0

New Hampshire:              Sen. Kelly Ayotte              -1.0

North Carolina:                 Sen. Richard Burr             +2.2

Ohio:                                     Sen. Rob Portman            +6.4

Pennsylvania:                    Sen. Pat Toomey                 -2.6

Wisconsin:                          Sen. Ron Johnson             -11.3

Arizona:                               Sen. John McCain             +8.0

Missouri:                             Sen. Roy Blunt                   +4.8

 

However, it’s not just the public perception of the top of the ticket that influences senate races. It’s also about the “get out the vote” infrastructure meant to maximize turnout through voter registration lists and data collection. Down ballot candidates such as senators and House members rely on this infrastructure to gain political control through the legislative branch as well as the executive branch.

“Their focus is really going to be on getting their vote out and their problem is, there is not a lot of infrastructure there to do it because Trump hasn’t built one so they are on their own, very much so in most of these places.”

While the Republican National Committee has been preparing for years to create a comprehensive ground game, the nominee is generally expected to add to it with their own field organizers and operations. Democratic candidates for Senate, and the House, will be counting on Hillary Clinton’s extensive campaign operation, hence some of the alarm from the GOP. Duffy, who has the opportunity to speak with these senators privately, says they are aware of the challenges they face these next two months.

“You get a sense that they are frustrated and they know what they are up against and they know how much is out of their control.”

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