In a series of polls released this week, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are now statistically tied nationally and in three battleground states – Florida, Ohio, and Nevada.
According to RealClearPolitics’ polling average on Friday, Clinton has the support of 45.7 percent of likely voters to Trump’s 44.2 percent.
Despite the nastiness of this election cycle, Washington Bureau Chief Carl Cannon says the polling itself has not been volatile.
“These candidates are volatile and national events are volatile and people are unsettled but the race – Clinton has had a small lead, maybe a million sized lead, and now it’s a small lead. She has never really been behind Trump.”
According to Cannon, the real deciding factor will be swing voters, he says is a larger group than it has been in the last few elections.
Trump has been doing well with white working class voters, which is approximately 30 percent of the population according to the US Census Bureau. In Ohio, a Bloomberg poll showed that Trump has a 43-point lead with white men without a college degree.
“What does that tell us? This is a group that is unhappy with the status quo. They are unhappy with Clinton; they are not crazy about Obama. They really want to send a message. They are angry; they want change. I think, to them, Trump reflects change more than Clinton.”
Polls released in the last week have shown him ahead of Clinton in some key states. A CNN/ORC poll reported support for Trump in Florida at 46 percent to Clinton’s 41 percent. The same poll showed in Ohio that 50 percent of likely voters support Trump; 46 percent support Clinton. In Nevada, a Monmouth poll had Trump at 44 percent and Clinton at 44 percent.
Check out our video for Cannon’s take on why the race is narrowing and the importance of white educated voters, a voting bloc that has voted Republican for decades.
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